Sunday, February 15, 2009

Presidential Fearmongering the Real Catastrophe

I read this great article over at the Wall Street Journal... and think it is a must read... so as usual I am bringing it here. If you are feeling panic over the economy with the negative talk bombarding us from the President, Congress, and the main stream media, take a deep breath and read the article. It helps put things in perspective. The full text can be found here. A sample is below.

Obama's Rhetoric Is the Real 'Catastrophe'
In 1932, automobile production shriveled by 90%.


President Barack Obama has turned fearmongering into an art form. He has repeatedly raised the specter of another Great Depression. First, he did so to win votes in the November election. He has done so again recently to sway congressional votes for his stimulus package.

In his remarks, every gloomy statistic on the economy becomes a harbinger of doom. As he tells it, today's economy is the worst since the Great Depression. Without his Recovery and Reinvestment Act, he says, the economy will fall back into that abyss and may never recover.

This fearmongering may be good politics, but it is bad history and bad economics. It is bad history because our current economic woes don't come close to those of the 1930s. At worst, a comparison to the 1981-82 recession might be appropriate. Consider the job losses that Mr. Obama always cites. In the last year, the U.S. economy shed 3.4 million jobs. That's a grim statistic for sure, but represents just 2.2% of the labor force. From November 1981 to October 1982, 2.4 million jobs were lost -- fewer in number than today, but the labor force was smaller. So 1981-82 job losses totaled 2.2% of the labor force, the same as now.

Job losses in the Great Depression were of an entirely different magnitude. In 1930, the economy shed 4.8% of the labor force. In 1931, 6.5%. And then in 1932, another 7.1%. Jobs were being lost at double or triple the rate of 2008-09 or 1981-82.

I am so thankful that I have a Lord and Savior who is my Provider and Protector. Someone in whom I can trust. Absolutely.

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